supply Chain

Supply Chain Dashboard

 

Charting the Crisis

The U.S. supply chain is in crisis. There are record numbers of ships waiting weeks to unload at ports, not enough trucks and drivers to move goods, skyrocketing costs for companies and consumers, and emerging input and product availability concerns — all underpinned by a labor shortage that is only growing worse. With half of Americans already reporting they have experienced recent shortages and more that expect to, the need to ease supply chain pressure has never been greater.

The numbers below reflect the challenges being felt at every link of the CPG supply chain and will be updated as new data becomes available.

5%

increase in CPG demand

CPG demand in June grew by 5.0% more than the year before.

 

 

 

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1,624

increase in CPG jobs

CPG added only 1,624 jobs in October while 117,000 openings remain.

 

 

 

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9%

Out of stocks

There is a 9% out-of-stock rate for CPG products, slightly higher for food and beverage products specifically at 11%.

 

 

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10.4%

Increase in wholesale costs

Wholesale costs have increased nearly 8% overall and 10.4% for food manufacturing.

 

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80 K

Drivers needed

80,000 truckers are needed, but added only 13,000 in May.

 

 

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5.6%

Wages

Industry manufacturing wages rose 5.6%, outpacing overall growth of 4.7%.

 

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CPG Demand

Demand for CPG products has set records since the pandemic began. In fact, demand for consumer goods was up 5.0% in June, compared to the same time last year when anxiety was high and stocking up on essentials was prevalent.

Key Facts

  • CPG demand in June grew by 5.0% than the year before.
  • Demand for CPG products has exceeded the panic-buying highs of March 2020 for the last 11 straight months.
  • With COVID not dictating everyday life the same way, current demand is reflective of a new normal.

 

 

Jobs

CPG needs a robust workforce to deliver essentials. But with sluggish growth in the industry and nearly 100,000 openings in the CPG industry, competition is fierce.

Key Facts

  • The CPG industry has 117,000 unfilled jobs, and added around 1,624 in October.
  • For manufacturing facility employees, wages have risen 5.6%.
  • There are more than 795,000 openings across the whole manufacturing sector.

 

 

Out-of-Stock Percentages

With greater demand and a strained supply chain, out-of-stock percentages are trending higher — for some categories nearly double the average.

The numbers on this page look at general categories and specific product types that are falling below average stock. For a more detailed breakdown, see IRI Worldwide’s CPG Supply Chain Index.

Key Facts

  • Typical out-of-stock percentages run anywhere from 7-10% in normal times.
  • Out-of-stocks are 9% for the total CPG industry. Within categories, out-of-stocks are 11% for food and beverages, 8% for household cleaning products and 5% for personal care.

Top Out-of-Stock Categories

These are the product categories where out-of-stock percentages are above normal.

1 Refrigerated Baked Goods 14%
2 Sports and Energy Drinks 15%
3 Frozen Baked Goods 14%
4 Bakery 13%
5 Cookies and Crackers 13%
6 Snacks 12%
7 Juices 12%
8 Carbonated Beverages 12%
9 Water 12%
10 Refrigerated Meals 11%
11 Frozen Snacks 10%
12 Laundry 7%

 

 

Wholesale Costs

There have been several months of significant increases (and all-time records set) in the Producer Price Index, which tracks the wholesale cost of commodities.

Key Facts

  • The Producer Price Index rose 8.0% in October over the year before, setting another record high for the indicator.
  • The increase in PPI is high, but the increase in key commodities for the CPG industry is much higher in many cases. For examples of raw ingredients and materials that are up significantly, see the list below.
  • With big increases in the cost to make and ship goods, consumer prices are also rising, though at a slower pace. The Consumer Price Index rose 7.7% in October over the year before.

Commodity Costs Watchlist

Here are the top ten most expensive ingredients and materials commonly used by the consumer goods industry, in percentage increase from October 2021 to October 2022.

1 Eggs 158%
2 Diesel 62%
3 Vegetables 46%
4 Turkeys 40%
5 Dry Pasta 37%
6 Corn 34%
7 Grains 29%
8 Milk 19%
9 Wheat 16%
10 Paperboard 12%

Trucking

The CPG industry accounts for one-fifth of all freight shipping in the United States. And the vast majority (approximately 90%) of CPG products are sourced and made in America — meaning it takes a lot of trucks and drivers to transport ingredients and materials to make products and to ship finished goods to stores.

Key Facts

  • For every one truck available, there are as many as 16 shipments waiting to be transported.
  • The American Trucking Associations estimates 80,000 truckers are needed but only 7,500 were added in January, even as truckers’ earnings have increased a rate five times their historical average.
  • Coyote Logistics reported a 48% increase in spot loads, or one-off non-contract shipments, since the start of the pandemic. The company also tracked a 40% decrease in available trucks offered by carriers.
  • Diesel fuel costs are up, an increase that will cost upwards of $3 billion more to supply this year.

     

     

    Ports

    While a large part of the consumer goods industry in the United States operates and sources domestically, port congestion still means trouble for business. And when containers are offloaded, there need to be trucks available to take them to their next destination — ratcheting up competition for drivers and vehicles that are already in short supply.

    Key Facts

    • As many as 108 container ships are stuck at Southern California ports, the ports of entry for more than 40% of the nation’s ocean shipments. Normally there is no more than one ship waiting.
    • In September, Goldman Sachs estimated there was $24 billion in goods adrift on the California coastline.
    • Freightos reported the median cost of shipping a standard metal container from China to the West Coast was $20,586 in September — almost double what it cost in July and 700% higher than it cost a year ago.

    How Many Containers Can a Cargo Ship Hold?

    Ship sizes vary, but each of them carry thousands of containers with ingredients, materials or finished goods ready to ship across the country. Carrier Asiana reported that most cargo ships hold an estimated 10,000-21,000 TEUs (containers). Type a number into the box below to see how many, on average, are in the current traffic jams. See here for a full breakdown of California’s port traffic.

    Container Ships

    Number of boats waiting in a port

    Containers

    Estimated total cargo containers

     

     

    Rising Concerns

    A recent Consumer Brands/Ipsos poll showed Americans are feeling the pinch of grocery inflation, have shifted where they attribute blame and see solving supply chain challenges as a means of easing pricing pressures.

    Key Stats

    • 72% of Americans said that increased grocery prices were having a very significant (34%) or somewhat significant (38%) impact on their household budgets.
    • A growing number of Americans blame supply chain costs and constraints as the primary driver of inflation.

    Shortage Concerns

    Below are the percent of Americans who say they’re worried about access to categories of products. Access to CPG products was the top concern.

    1 Food and beverage products 55%
    2 Cleaning and personal care products 44%
    3 Holiday food items (i.e. turkeys) 34%
    4 Electronics 24%
    5 Apparel and shoes 21%
    6 Toys 15%

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